Remember last year?

I distinctly remember this first day of February last year. It was in the middle of my “winter of discontent”. The temperature on the High Plains went below zero just before Christmas and when we got tired of that, it got colder.

January seemed to never end. It continued, day after miserable cold day, while our weathermen and women kept talking about the Polar Vortex. This was was the first time the furnace could not keep up. On many days I had roaring fire in the wood stove and the furnace on just to stay “room temperature”. I remember distinctly posting on Facebook, “Aren’t you glad there is no such thing as January thirty second?”

January last year set records for cold all over North America, Europe and the northern tier of Russia. There were natural gas shortages in Europe as well as propane shortages in the US Midwest. There were stories of Orange crop failure from ice as far south as central Florida.

Yes, we were all glad to see January of 2014 come to an end. There was an end to the misery on the horizon. Little did we know this Polar pattern would last four more long months into mid May.

Oh, wait a minute… Our President said in his speech that last year was the warmest on record. I must be wrong. I must have dreamed it. I must have imagined writing that check to my plumber for the repair of frozen pipes. How can this be? How can I be so wrong? My President wouldn’t lie to me. He, after all, is smarter than I am. I have to be mistaken. He must be right, He’s our President. He is the smartest president in decades.

I can only conclude that the proper scientific method is to ignore the highly accurate satellite temperature measuring data, then cherry pick ground sites with dubious reliability and jink those numbers to get a rise of .02 degrees (inside the margin of error of .1 degrees) and therefore conclude that the year that held “the winter of my discontent” and the summer that was too cool for swimming was, in fact, the warmest year on record.

If I did those kind of calculations with my bank account I’d be in jail.

A simple Question 2.0

About four years, eleven months and two weeks ago I wrote a blog post called “A Simple Test.”  If you don’t remember it (and I’m sure you don’t ) remind yourself of it here:

https://p3bfco.wordpress.com/2008/11/07/a-simple-test/

I will ask you today an go to your sock drawer and get the notes you took back then.  Let’s compare them to what we have today.

Here are some of mine.
On November 7th 2008 I said “My electricity costs me $8.50 per kilowatt hour.  This is about $100 a month in winter.  More in summer with the air conditioner running.  But I’ll use the winter number.”

Today my electricity is $10.50 per kilowatt hour but my monthly connection fee has increased from $13.00 to $55.00. My lowest electric bill now is about $150.00 a month and I’m told it is about to go up again. Seems the current administration is squeezing our coal fired power plants.

Here’s more: “A loaf of bread is about a dollar and a quarter today and a gallon of milk is about $3.50.  Butter is $2.28 lb. Eggs are about $1.20 a dozen.”

Today a loaf of bread I about $2.25. A gallon of milk is $4.27, Butter is $1.88 and Eggs are $1.80. With the exception of butter, all the other things are higher.

Let’s look at some more notes from my sock drawer. “Gasoline in town yesterday was $2.10 gal.
Oil is running at $61.00 a barrel on the market this morning.”

Today gasoline is running about $3.96 and the price of oil is $86.00 a barrel.   Now here’s something curious, the last time gas was around and over four bucks, oil was running in the 140 range. All the liberals were blaming George Bush for cronyism and being in bed with big oil. Where are the finger pointers now? But I digress….

Here’s more from the 2008 post, “Now, on to other things…..
My local stores are well stocked.
I can get a doctor’s appointment on the day I call in.
I have a high quality (in patient) medical facility only a few miles away
The national unemployment rate is around 6%.
Inflation is being reported at about 5%.
Remember the Misery Index?  That is the unemployment rate plus the inflation rate.  Today the Misery Index is at 11%.
The current President has an approval rating under 30% and the current congress is at about 10%.”

Okay, Obamacare hasn’t kicked in yet (it won’t until after this election {wonder of wonders}) so I still can call my doctor and get an appointment for later today.
The stores are still stocked but I am noticing empty shelves more and more often.  Especially in the big box stores like Walmart.
The national Unemployment rate is 7.8% (that is if you forget to count California like they did with this last release {oops})
Inflation for 2012 is being reported as 4.8% (but here’s a new twist, they no longer count gasoline of food {well, who uses those things anyway.})
The misery index today conservatively measured is 12.6% A truer measure of the misery index is taking the percentage number of the unemployed and adding it to the Producer Price Index (a more accurate indication of inflation). Today’s PPI is 10.8%. The true (without government jinking the numbers to make the administration look good) unemployment, according to Gallop, is 9.7%. Today’s un-underemployed index is 17%. So… You can place a real misery index at somewhere between 20.5% and 27.8%.
The current president approval rating is 48% and Congress has gone from 11% to 21%.

Now…. How about you? Got that note from your sock drawer in your hand?
What is your energy costing you today?
What is your medical care costing you today?  AND…  How good is it?
Do you think you are better off than your parents?
Do you think your children will be better off then you?
How do you see the future?  Bright or bleak?

Now ask yourself…
“AM I BETTER OFF THEN I WAS FOUR YEARS AGO?”

I think the answer is obvious.
I’ll close this by saying, “I told you so.”

I’m confused… Happy, but confused.

Ever since I moved out here to rural South Dakota I have used propane as a heating fuel.  For the first few years it was not only my primary source but my only source for home heat.
As the price of the stuff (which tends to follow oil) continued to increase, I looked for and found an alternate source of heat in the form of a wood burning stove.
I have seen the price of propane go from 83 cents a gallon in 2003 to 2.25 a gallon in 2008.
I have reduced my consumption by over half with the a bit of sweat equity and the wood burner, and I’m fine with that.  It keeps me young to swing a 9 pound mall and split a 12” log.

Here’s why I’m confused (and believe me, I m not complaining). I called my local supplier to check the price of propane for the “winter fill program” and found out the price was on dollar and ten cents a gallon!  Last year it was 1.79.  The year before it was 1.89.
I told them to fill the tank, something I have not had the wherewithal to do in several years.

My question is why.  Why has the price of propane broken away from its link to crude oil?  The driver of the delivery truck told me there is a glut because of the mild winter.  The dry summer also has an affect here.  In the fall, farmers will use propane to dry down grain for long term storage.  Well it has been so dry that there will be little drying needed for the small harvests this year.

Anybody know it that is happening in the home heating oil business or in the natural gas industry?  Anybody have a better understanding of the energy industry than I do?

Published in: on September 15, 2012 at 8:29 am  Leave a Comment  
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Let’s talk about this oil spill.

There are many people pointing fingers and finding fault.

I am convinced that this is a simple (yet difficult) problem and could have been fixed and contained IF those in power wanted it done.

I am of the opinion one of the two following conditions exists – neither of them bodes well for the American citizenry.  First is that the Obama-nation wants to use this “crisis” to stop all offshore oil research and drilling so they are dragging their heels.  Or possibly something less sinister, the administration is so incompetent and inept that they can’t even implement a plan that has had solutions in place and on paper for over 20 years.  I’m not sure.  Frankly, I would prefer to think it is the later not the former.

If this had happened three years ago all the news stories would be about how the Bush administration is at fault and how Bush failed to act.  How Cheney’s friends in the oil business have taken advantage of a stupid President.  Today…. Nary a whisper.  The newsies blame BP but say nothing about the lack of government intervention over the first nine days.  They were all worked up about the George Bush seven minutes, yet say nothing about the Obama nine days.

But I digress……

 

There has been talk about hay or straw being used to soak up the oil and then burning the straw. I have seen one local news story about this and one video on Youtube.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k5SxX2EntEo

There is a good amount of straw out here in the grain belt that is simply sitting and decomposing from previous years.  It might not be the whole solution but it could be part of it.  I have also heard of oil eating bacteria that is effective in oil cleanup. I’m sure there are other chemicals and treatments that COULD BE employed if the Department of Environmental Protection would ALLOW them.  Yet the only government solution from the Obama Administration for the first ten days was to “Put the heel of our boot on the neck of BP” – (Press Secretary Robert Gibbs).  Why is that?  Incompetence – or intentional?

 

One final thought.

Do you think the oil companies would be drilling for oil in mile deep water if the government would open up Wyoming and Colorado for oil exploitation?  Wouldn’t it be easier to go after the oil that is in 60 feet of water off the California coast than go after the oil that is only accessible under a mile of corrosive salt water?  Why are we not going after the oil shale deposits in Wyoming and Colorado?  Why are we not drilling for oil in Alaska and in the shallow waters of  California and Florida?  There is some activity in North Dakota but only a pittance compared to what could be.  How about coal to diesel?  It can and is being done on a test basis.  It has been proven to be more cost effective than offshore deep water drilling for oil.  Coal to oil alone would all but eliminate our dependence on foreign oil AND cost less.  Yet we don’t do it on a grand scale.  Why?  The Enviro-nazi’s have blocked all of these at every opportunity.  So we have to go far offshore and look for oil in mile deep hostile surroundings.  A place where if an accident were to occur, it would be very difficult to fix.

A similar situation on the High Plains of North Dakota would have been caped and shut down is a matter of hours – not weeks. So… (like stopping the use of asbestos on the 75th floor when building the World Trade Center) it seems to me that, like many liberals and their unintended consequences……

This is an environmental disaster HAS BEEN CAUSED by the environmentalists.

Have you quit beating your wife? Yes or no.

CBS did a prequel show prior to Obama’s State of the Union address.  To set this up they posted a page on the CBS news website with poll questions to consider.  Here’s the link:

 http://www.cbsnews.com/2718-504643_162-468.html?tag=contentMain;contentBody

How do you answer these questions?  The list is dripping with liberal bias.  Many can not be answered at all because the correct answer is not listed.  On others, if you do try to answer, the answer you give can and will be misconstrued to be a an endorsement of Obama’s policies. 

Let me see if I can illustrate what I mean by answering these questions:

#1. What do you think is the most important message in President Obama’s State of the Union address?

  • Health care

  • Economy

  • National security

Answer: None of the above.  The primary concern in government is corruption, over reaching, back room deals and the total disregard for the will of the people and the Constitution.  Since the liberals see no problem with the corruption as long as it forwards their agenda, it would not occur to them to add corruption to their list of answers.

 

#2.  Are you satisfied with President Obama’s strategy for Afghanistan?

  • Yes, I am satisfied

  • No, I am not satisfied

  • Don’t know/no opinion

Answer: I would answer No, I am not satisfied.  However, what does that mean?  Am I dissatisfied because he waited almost five months before making the wrong decision strategy?  Or am I a peacenik who wants all the troops out?  Obama spent two years bashing Bush on Afghanistan.  He kept asking where is Osama?  Well….. Mr. President, you have had a year….. Where is Osama?

 

#3. Are you satisfied with President Obama’s foreign policy strategy?

  • Yes, I am satisfied

  • No, I am not satisfied

  • Don’t know/no opinion

Answer: No, I am not satisfied.  BUT what does that mean? Does it mean I think he has not apologized and appeased enough?  Or, could it mean that I think he is a fool to not stand up for his own country in foreign lands?  How would the liberals interpret my answer?  Would they think I think as they do and we have not trashed America enough yet?

 

#4.  Have partisan politics increased or decreased under the Obama administration?

  • Increased

  • Decreased

  • No change

This one is the first real question.  The answer is increased.  There is no doubt and I believe no argument here.  The argument is who is doing the increasing.

 

#5.  How well has President Obama addressed the issue of climate change?

  • Well

  • Not well

  • Don’t know/no opinion

Answer: Here is one of those “beating your wife questions” the liberals are so famous for.  They, as the lawyers say, “assume facts not in evidence”.  Any answer to this question is wrong because the premise is wrong.  The entire Global Warming theory has been proven time and time again to be a fraud.  Even now there are stories about scientists skewing the numbers to get millions in grant money.

So How do I answer this?  If I answer Well I will be counted as one who believes in global warming and is behind the President.  If I answer Not well I will be counted as one who believes strongly in global warning and feels more needs to be done.

My answer is NOT WELL, because the President has NOT addressed the FRAUD of the Climate Change lobby.  He has not called his own agencies out and had them explain why they are doctoring the numbers.

 

#6.  Do you think we should have more high-speed railways in the U.S.?

  • Yes

  • No

  • Don’t know/no opinion

Another trick question. The question should read, “Do you think the taxpayers should pay for and pay to maintain more high-speed railways in the U.S.?”.

If I answer Yes, I am endorsing another debacle like AMTRAK. If I answer No, I appear to be against progress.  I will answer this way, If a private company wants to builds a high speed rail system, more power to them.  I do not want to pay for it.

 

#7. Do you think President Obama has brought the ‘change’ that his campaign slogan promised?

  • Yes

  • No

  • Don’t know/no opinion

Here we go again.  How do I answer this?  I would answer Yes.  But then the liberals would think I am behind the President and his policies.  If I answer No, then the liberals who made up this “poll” will think that I want more “change” and he is not moving fast enough.

Actually I think all the “change” he has brought is a detriment to liberty and freedom.  My concern is that he is not done “changing” us yet.

 

#8. Do you approve or disapprove of President Obama’s performance during his first year in office? 

  • Approve

  • Disapprove

  • Don’t know/no opinion

Ok here is another real question.  I disapprove, not because he has not done enough, but because he has done too much.

 

#9. Will we see a double-dip recession in 2010?

  • Yes

  • No

  • Don’t know/no opinion

Answer: Because of the fiscal policies of this AND the previous administrations, this is a real possibility.

 

#10. Do you think that dealing with the nation’s energy problem should be a top priority for the White House?

  • Yes

  • No

  • Don’t know/no opinion

Answer: Yes, but not the way he wants to do it.  I want more US energy, not less.  Cap & Tax will kill the energy industry in the US.  If his answer is Cap & Tax, then No…. I want it to be his last priority.

 

#11. In his first year in office, has President Obama accomplished more than you expected, as much as you expected, or less than you expected?

  • More than expected

  • As much as expected

  • Less than expected

  • Don’t know/no opinion

What the hell do I do with this one?  Any answer is wrong. More than expected means I endorse his policies, Less than expected means I want more of his policies and as much as expected means I think he is on the right track!!!!  This is the quintessential “have you quit beating your wife” question.  There is NO RIGHT ANSWER.

 

#12. Has President Obama paid more attention to the problems facing the middle-class or financial institutions?

  • Middle-class

  • Financial institutions

  • Both equally

  • Don’t know/no opinion 

Answer: I believe President Obama has paid more attention to President Obama than anything else in the last year. After that he has paid attention to his own progressive agenda at the peril of both the middle class AND financial institutions. There is no right answer.

 

#13. How well is President Obama doing in reducing the threat of terrorism?

  • Very/fairly well

  • Not too/not at all well

  • Don’t know/no opinion

Answer: Not too/not well at all.  This is a simple question.  Even the liberals can understand my answer here.  The same with this next one.

 

#14. Is the U.S safer from a terrorist attack under the Obama Administration, compared to President George W. Bush?

  • Yes, the U.S. is safer

  • No, the U.S. is not safer

  • Don’t know/no opinion

Answer: No, the U.S. is not safer.

 

#15. What is your biggest concern when it comes to comprehensive health care reform?

  • Costs

  • Government buraucracy (by the way they spelled bureaucracy wrong)

  • Quality of care

  • Effect on Medicare

How about… It’s not Constitutional?

 

#16. Would you be in favor of suspending work on comprehensive health care reform?

  • Continue work and try to pass health reform

  • Suspend work and begin looking for alternatives

  • Don’t know/no opinion

This question once again assumes I WANT the government meddling with my health choices.  The right answer is to stop working on this all together and leave it to the states where it belongs.

 

#17. Do you think the stimulus act has helped the economy?

  • Yes

  • No

  • Don’t know/no opinion

Answer: No.

 

#18. What has been President Obama’s biggest blunder of his first year in office?

  • Handling of health care reform

  • Waiting to make surge decision in Afghanistan

  • Handling of Wall Street

  • Beer Summit

  • Not focusing enough on jobs and unemployment

  • Other

Answer: From Mr. Obama’s point of view his biggest blunder is loosing the faith of the sheeple.  As to my opinion…. Well, you know my opinion.

 

#19. Should Ben Bernanke keep his post as Chairman of the Federal Reserve?

  • Yes

  • No

  • Don’t know/no opinion

Again, this assumes facts not in evidence.  It assumes that I favor the concept of a private company running our nation’s monetary system.  How about “The Federal Reserve System is unconstitutional and should be dissolved. Yes or No.”

 

Questions written by liberals can not, for the most part, be properly answered by those who are conservative.  As long as we allow them to set the question, we will never get a strait answer.

Please Mrs. Elliott, stop helping!

Having read about the Joint Transporation Committee voting to take more of our money, ( http://dakotawarcollege.com/archives/10435 ) I wrote this Letter to the Editor last night and submitted it to our local papers.  Why am I telling you this? To Brag?  To say “What a good boy am I”?  No.  Frankly, I don’t think you really care.  Nor should you.

I am putting this on my blog page to LEAD BY EXAMPLE.  When things bother you, don’t complain to your neighbor.  Write a letter to the editor of your local paper, send a note to your representative in the Statehouse or Congress.  Put the pressure on them for a change.

Here’s the letter: 

 Last November the voters of District 2 chose Elaine Elliott(D) to represent us in Pierre.  We chose her to be our voice, our advocate.  I’m sure she had all of us in mind this week when she voted to raise our taxes.  You see Elaine is on the Joint Transportation Committee and they just voted to pass a bill that would raise all our taxes and make it more expensive to own and operate our cars and trucks.

 Tell me Elaine, were you thinking about the farmers in Spink and Brown Counties when you voted to raise the fuel tax by ten cents a gallon?  Farmers who have been devastated with spring flooding and fall rains.  Were the folks who lost most of their retirement funds in the stock market and are now working part time jobs to make ends meet on your mind when you voted to raise the auto registration fees?  How about the all the folks on unemployment?  The highest unemployment in decades!  Were you thinking of them when you voted to raise the auto use tax by more than thirty percent?  And then there’s those senior citizens on a fixed income whose car is their only means to get around.  I’m sure you were considering them when you voted.

If this is the way you intend to “help” us here in Spink and Brown Counties, please, Elaine, don’t do us any more favors.

Rick Skorupski

Published in: on October 16, 2009 at 7:25 am  Leave a Comment  
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Climate Bill Set for Vote After Deal Is Reached – “We the People” CAN stop this.

Here’s the article:

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124579482359843937.html

If you do not send a note to your Congressman(woman) and Senators TODAY, they will pass this thing. If they do, $6.00 gasoline will be considered cheap.

Write, call, email NOW!!

Don’t put it off unless you like having your electric bill, gas bill and food bill doubled.

Cap & Tax WILL kill this country.

I can’t say this strongly enough…… DO IT NOW!!!!

As much as they try to take it away, this is still a country “Of the people, by the people and for the people”.  BE The People and let your voice he heard in Washington.

Otherwise just sit back and sing the BOHICA song.

http://www.nj1015.com/personalities/jim-gearhart/audio/bohica.mp3